Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Apr 27, 2025
Updated: Sun Apr 27 22:04:03 UTC 2025 (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in
MS-Word or
PDF. Note: On February 23, 2021 the Probabilistic Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlooks became operational. Please see the Service Change Notice 20-115 for more details.
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 272200
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0500 PM CDT Sun Apr 27 2025
Valid 291200Z - 051200Z
...Days 3-5/Tuesday-Thursday...
A short-wave trough over the Southwest U.S. will continue to bring
lingering fire weather concerns to southern New Mexico and far west
Texas Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities
remain for Day 3/Tuesday across southern New Mexico and far Western
Texas, with fire weather threat shifting and shrinking to primarily
far western Texas by Day 4/Wednesday where available fuels remain
receptive to wildfire spread. Another upper-level wave and cold
front shift eastward across the northern Rockies for Days
3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday presenting a potential post-frontal/downslope
wind fire weather threat across eastern Montana. Spatial
distribution of frontal precipitation is a bit uncertain and
precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time for
Days 4-5/Wednesday-Thursday.
...Day 6-8/Friday-Sunday...
Ridge amplification over the western U.S. will support a lighter
wind regime but above normal temperatures for much of the
Intermountain West and Northwestern Tier states. Long term model and
ensemble guidance suggests another potentially strong, negatively
tilted upper-trough into the western U.S. through the weekend (Days
7-8). Attendant strong winds aloft over a well-mixed boundary layer
could present another broad fire weather concern over much of the
Southwest for the weekend time frame. 40 percent Critical
probabilities were added for eastern Arizona into western New Mexico
where drought stressed fuels remain and minimal to no precipitation
leading up to the weekend across this region is expected.
..Williams.. 04/27/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT